Mercavelo Research

Mercavelo Research was founded with a clear conviction: that businesses engaged in commodity markets deserve access to the same quality of independent, methodologically transparent analysis that was historically available only to the largest trading houses and financial institutions. From our earliest engagements, we focused exclusively on the intersection of commodity pricing, physical trade flows and strategic business decision-making — a discipline that requires both quantitative rigour and deep market knowledge. Over the years we have built a research infrastructure that combines proprietary data collection, econometric modelling and hands-on sector expertise across energy, metals, chemicals and agricultural commodities. Our analysts are drawn from careers in commodity trading, supply chain consulting and applied economics, ensuring that every report reflects how markets actually work, not just how they are theoretically supposed to work. We place a premium on intellectual honesty: when data is ambiguous, we say so; when our forecasts prove wrong, we explain why and update our frameworks accordingly. This commitment to transparency is not a marketing position — it is the operational standard we hold ourselves to on every client engagement. Mercavelo Research operates independently, with no proprietary trading positions, no commodity sales interests and no financial products tied to our research outputs. This structural independence is what allows us to provide analysis that clients can genuinely rely on when real money is at stake. We serve a global client base spanning multinational corporations, mid-size importers, trading firms and industry associations, delivering research that is used in contract negotiations, capital planning, risk management and market strategy. Our mission remains constant: to give businesses operating in commodity markets a clearer, more reliable picture of the world they are navigating.